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  • Arizona 4th - 2018 House Forecast | FiveThirtyEight
    The Deluxe version of our model calculates an implied margin for each race based on expert race ratings from The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections and Sabato's Crystal Ball; it then adjusts that margin toward its estimate of the national political environment
  • South Carolina 5th - 2018 House Forecast | FiveThirtyEight
    The Classic version of our model projects a race’s outcome by taking a weighted average of polls of a district (if available), polls of similar districts (CANTOR) and non-polling factors (fundamentals) It is then reverted toward a mean based on long-term trends in midterms and presidential approval ratings
  • Washington 4th - 2018 House Forecast | FiveThirtyEight
    The Classic version of our model projects a race’s outcome by taking a weighted average of polls of a district (if available), polls of similar districts (CANTOR) and non-polling factors (fundamentals) It is then reverted toward a mean based on long-term trends in midterms and presidential approval ratings
  • Louisiana 3rd - 2018 House Forecast | FiveThirtyEight
    The Classic version of our model projects a race’s outcome by taking a weighted average of polls of a district (if available), polls of similar districts (CANTOR) and non-polling factors (fundamentals) It is then reverted toward a mean based on long-term trends in midterms and presidential approval ratings
  • Tracking Congress In The Age Of Trump | FiveThirtyEight
    FiveThirtyEight is tracking which senators and representatives agree and disagree most with Donald Trump
  • Texas 22nd - 2018 House Forecast | FiveThirtyEight
    The Classic version of our model projects a race’s outcome by taking a weighted average of polls of a district (if available), polls of similar districts (CANTOR) and non-polling factors (fundamentals) It is then reverted toward a mean based on long-term trends in midterms and presidential approval ratings
  • Montana 2nd District : U. S. House : 2022 Polls | FiveThirtyEight
    In 2023, we made changes to the way we calculated our favorability, approval, generic congressional ballot and national 2024 Republican primary polling averages
  • New York 19th District : U. S. House : 2022 Polls | FiveThirtyEight
    In 2023, we made changes to the way we calculated our favorability, approval, generic congressional ballot and national 2024 Republican primary polling averages
  • 2022 Senate Election Forecast | FiveThirtyEight
    Latest forecasts and polls for the 2022 Senate elections from ABC News’s FiveThirtyEight
  • Minnesota : Governor Polls | FiveThirtyEight
    Select a dataset Favorability polls Generic ballot polls (current cycle) Generic ballot polls (past cycles) Generic ballot polling averages Governor polls (current cycle) Governor polls (past cycles) Governor recall polls Presidential approval polls (current administration) Presidential approval polls (past administrations) Vice presidential





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